Read the full NHL CBA proposal to players, including end of Gary Bettman as appellate judge

17 Oct
2012

In case you were wondering if the National Hockey League was on the power play in their latest proposal to players, here's the equivalent of unleashing a Zdeno Chara slap shot: The NHL released the full contents of their proposal on Wednesday morning, in an unprecedented, cards-on-the-table move.

It was one made out of necessity, as news leaked all over about the proposal. But here it is, as the NHLPA received it. Kudos to the NHL for making it so.

A few of the highlights:

• The salary cap would be $59.9 million for the 2012-13 season; but seeing as how 16 teams are currently over that limit, the NHL will allow teams to go over that cap up to $70.2 million for this season only. The salary cap floor will be $43.9 million; every team in the League is over that floor at the moment.

• The rookie contract maximum is two years, unless a player plays a partial season in which case the contract will cover that season and two subsequent seasons. This is an attack on the "second contracts" for players, which have proven to be some of the most lucrative in the NHL and inflationary to the cap system.

• Hockey Related Revenue still needs "mutual clarification," which is no doubt still a sticking point for the NHLPA.

• Finally, this one:

Introduction of additional procedural safeguards, including ultimate appeal right to a "neutral" third-party arbitrator with a "clearly erroneous" standard of review.

That's right: Brendan Shanahan's massive suspensions (i.e. a "clearly erroneous" judgment on a player's actions) will be reviewed by a third-party arbitrator rather than the man who hired Shanahan to make the rulings, i.e. Gary Bettman.

Read the full NHL proposal …

Term:

Six-year Agreement with mutual option for a seventh year.

HRR Accounting:

Current HRR Accounting subject to mutual clarification of existing interpretations and settlements.

Applicable Players' Share:

For each of the six (6) years of the CBA (and any additional one-year option) the Players' Share shall be Fifty (50) percent of Actual HRR.

Payroll Range:

Payroll Range will be computed using existing methodology. For the 2012/13 season, the Payroll Range will be computed assuming HRR will remain flat year-over-year (2011/12 to 2012/13) at $3.303 Billion (assuming Preliminary Benefits of $95 Million).

2012/13 Payroll Range…

Lower Limit = $43.9 Million

Midpoint = $51.9 Million

Upper Limit = $59.9 Million

Appropriate "Transition Rules" to allow Clubs to exceed Upper Limit for the 2012/13 season only (but in no event will Club's Averaged Club Salary be permitted to exceed the pre-CBA Upper Limit of $70.2 Million).

Cap Accounting:

Payroll Lower Limit must be satisfied without performance bonuses.

All years of existing SPCs with terms in excess of five (5) years will be accounted for and charged against a team's Cap (at full AAV) regardless of whether or where the Player is playing. In the event any such contract is traded during its term, the related Cap charge will travel with the Player, but only for the year(s) in which the Player remains active and is being paid under his NHL SPC. If, at some subsequent point in time the Player retires or ceases to play and/or receive pay under his NHL SPC, the Cap charge will automatically revert (at full AAV) to the Club that initially entered into the contract for the balance of its term.

Money paid to Players on NHL SPCs (one-ways and two-ways) in another professional league will not be counted against the Players' Share, but all dollars paid in excess of $105,000 will be counted against the NHL Club's Averaged Club Salary for the period during which such Player is being paid under his SPC while playing in another professional league.

In the context of Player Trades, participating Clubs will be permitted to allocate Cap charges and related salary payment obligations between them, subject to specified parameters. Specifically, Clubs may agree to retain, for each of the remaining years of the Player's SPC, no more than the lesser of: (i) $3 million of a particular SPC's Cap charge or (ii) 50 percent of the SPC's AAV ("Retained Salary Transaction"). In any Retained Salary Transaction, salary obligations as between Clubs would be allocated on the same percentage basis as Cap charges are being allocated. So, for instance, if an assigning Club agrees to retain 30% of an SPC's Cap charge over the balance of its term, it will also retain an obligation to reimburse the acquiring Club 30% of the Player's contractual compensation in each of the remaining years of the contract. A Club may not have more than two (2) contracts as to which Cap charges have been allocated between Clubs in a Player Trade, and no more than $5 million in allocated Cap charges in the aggregate in any one season.

System Changes:

Entry Level System commitment will be limited to two (2) years (covering two full seasons) for all Players who sign their first SPC between the ages of 18 and 24 (i.e., where the first year of the SPC only covers a partial season, SPC must be for three (3) years).

Maintenance of existing Salary Arbitration System subject to: (i) total mutuality of rights with regard to election as between Player and Club, and (ii) eligibility for election moved to five years of professional experience (from the current four years).

Group 3 UFA eligibility for Players who are 28 or who have eight (8) Accrued Seasons (continues to allow for early UFA eligibility -- age 26).

Maximum contract length of five (5) years.

Limit on year-to-year salary variability on multi-year SPCs -- i.e., maximum increase or decrease in total compensation (salary and bonuses) year-over-year limited to 5% of the value of the first year of the contract. (For example, if a Player earns $10 million in total compensation in Year 1 of his SPC, his compensation (salary and bonuses) cannot increase or decrease by more than $500,000 in any subsequent year of his SPC.)

Re-Entry waivers will be eliminated, consistent with the Cap Accounting proposal relating to the treatment of Players on NHL SPCs playing in another professional league.

NHL Clubs who draft European Players obtain four (4) years of exclusive negotiating rights following selection in the Draft. If the four-year period expires, Player will be eligible to enter the League as a Free Agent and will not be subject to re-entering the Draft.

Revenue Sharing:

NHL commits to Revenue Sharing Pool of $200 million for 2012/13 season (based on assumption of $3.303 Billion in actual HRR). Amount will be adjusted upward or downward in proportion to Actual HRR results for 2012/13. Revenue Sharing Pools in future years will be calculated proportionately.

At least one-half of the total Revenue Sharing Pool (50%) will be raised from the Top 10 Revenue Grossing Clubs in a manner to be determined by the NHL.

The distribution of the Revenue Sharing Pool will be determined on an annual basis by a Revenue Sharing Committee on which the NHLPA will have representation and input.

For each of the first two years of the CBA, no Club will receive less in total Revenue Sharing than it received in 2011/12.

Current "Disqualification" criteria in CBA (for Clubs in Top Half of League revenues and Clubs in large media markets) will be removed.

Existing performance and "reduction" standards and provisions relating to "non-performers" (i.e., CBA 49.3(d)(i) and 49.3(d)(ii)) will be eliminated and will be adjusted as per the NHL's 7/31 Proposal.

Supplemental and Commissioner Discipline:

Introduction of additional procedural safeguards, including ultimate appeal right to a "neutral" third-party arbitrator with a "clearly erroneous" standard of review.

No "Rollback"

The NHL is not proposing that current SPCs be reduced, re-written or rolled back. Instead, the NHL's proposal retains all current Players' SPCs at their current face value for the duration of their terms, subject to the operation of the escrow mechanism in the same manner as it worked under the expired CBA.

Players' Share "Make Whole" Provision:

The League proposes to make Players "whole" for the absolute reduction in Players' Share dollars (when compared to 2011/12) that is attributable to the economic terms of the new CBA (the "Share Reduction"). Using an assumed year-over-year growth rate of 5% for League-wide revenues, the new CBA could result in shortfalls from the current level of Players' Share dollars ($1.883 Billion in 2011/12) of up to $149 million in Year 1 and up to $62 million in Year 2, for which Players will be "made whole." (By Year 3 of the new CBA, Players' Share dollars should exceed the current level ($1.883 Billion for 2011/12) and no "make whole" will be required.)

Any such "shortfalls" in Years 1 and 2 of the new CBA will be computed as a percentage reduction off of the Player's stated contractual compensation, and will be repaid to the Player as a Deferred Compensation benefit spread over the remaining future years of the Player's SPC (or if he has no remaining years, in the year following the expiration of his SPC). Player reimbursement for the Share Reduction will be accrued and paid for by the League, and will be chargeable against Players' Share amounts in future years as Preliminary Benefits. The objective would be to honor all existing SPCs by restoring their "value" on the basis of the now existing level of Players' Share dollars.

• • •

The final section here is a key one: Deferring payment on current contracts. Will the NHLPA actually trust the League to come through?

Donald Fehr responded to the offer in a letter to the players, as revealed by TSN's Bob McKenzie, including this bit on the last section:

"The proposal includes a "Make Whole" provision, to compensate players for the anticipated reduction in absolute dollars from last year (2011-12), to this year and next year. However, it would work like this. The Players Share in subsequent years would be reduced so that this "Make Whole" payment would be made. It is players paying players, not owners paying players. That is, players are "made whole" for reduced salaries in one year by reducing their salaries in later years."

Yeah ... this might not fly.

Tags: , , , , payroll, , , SPCs
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Undefeated Falcons find a way to pull out a win, again

14 Oct
2012

The Falcons probably can't keep doing this and go to a Super Bowl.

They probably should have lost to Carolina at home two weeks ago and they really seemed like they were going to lose to Oakland at home again on Sunday.

But Atlanta is living a charmed life during its 6-0 start. And, to the Falcons' credit, they have been pretty clutch as well.

[Also: Is this the wildest touchdown in NFL history?]

The Falcons didn't have a Hail Mary from Matt Ryan to set up a field goal, like they did against Carolina, but a methodical, quick drive to set up Matt Bryant's 55-yard field goal for the win with one second left.

The Falcons got a gift well before that. With Oakland in field-goal range with just under three minutes to play, Carson Palmer telegraphed his pass to Denarius Moore and Asante Samuel made a great play. Samuel jumped the route, stepping in front of Moore for the interception, and thanks to Palmer's attempt (and the term "feeble attempt" has never been more accurate) at a tackle, the Falcons had a go-ahead 79-yard touchdown.

The Falcons probably should have had the win sealed up then. But they let the Raiders and Palmer rally and go 80 yards to tie the game. That's not a good sign from a team with some legitimately high hopes for this season.

[Also: Redskins could be in big trouble for handling of RG3's concussion]

But great teams also can pull miracles out of their hat, and the Falcons did that yet again. Ryan, as usual, calmly moved the Falcons 43 yards, to get just inside Bryant's range. After the Raiders called a timeout, Bryant made a practice attempt that sailed well left. But when it counted, Bryant's kick went through for 23-20 victory and the Falcons stayed undefeated.

Atlanta is in a great place after six weeks, but the Falcons might want to not make it so tough on themselves every week.

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Tags: , , , , , wildest,
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Quality AM2201, 2-CI, MMAI , 4-ACO-DMT, Ketamine & other RC’s here

10 Oct
2012
by in Fantasy NASCAR, General
We bring a range of experimental plant treatments and other pure grade research chemicals. We currently supply: 2C-C, 2C-D, 2C-E, 2C-I, 2C-P, 2C-T-2, UR-144 , 5f-ur-144, Ketamine, MMAI, Mephedrone (4-MMC), Oxycodone, Morphine, Synthacaine, NOPAINE HCL, Flephedrone (4-FMC), Methedrone (BK-PMMA), Methylone (BK-MDMA), Butylone (BK-MBDB), JWH-018,JWH-210,JWH-122,JWH-203 Benzo Fury, Dimethocaine (Larocaine/DMC), MDPV , Bromo DragonFly, TCB-2, 4-Aco-DMT, 4-Ho-MIPT, 4-Ho-MIPT Testosterone, AM 2201,AM 2233,AM 1220,AM 1248 URB-754 ,URB-597 ,URB-602 RCS-4 We sell in Crystal and powder and our quality is 99.9% profound and guaranteed. Contact for your orders via email at : info.chems4u@gmail.com
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Stream Police: An evening with Miguel Gonzalez

25 Sep
2012
by in General

The majority of the Wednesday card falls in the streaming range; we have 23 arms to consider. But that doesn't mean you really have that many viable options. Amino acid time, let's break it down.

And please remember the golden rule of September baseball: everyone on this list should be considered tentative. Scratches and changes can come down at any time.

Green Light
Kyle Kendrick vs. WAS — Two runs or less in seven of eight turns.
Bronson Arroyo vs. MIL — Ziggy changed speeds, played guitar.
Jeremy Guthrie at DET — Tricky spot, but 1.49/1.05 ratios last month.
Miguel Gonzalez vs. TOR — Almost always gives you six-plus IP, something useful.

Yellow Light
Chris Carpenter at HOU — Gutty comeback and the location is right.
Alex Cobb at BOS — Only so-so of late, but only one terrible turn out of 10.
Clayton Richard vs. LAD — Only a modest strikeout source and WHIP is creeping up, too.
Martin Perez vs. OAK — Full package of skills but disappointed at Safeco last week.

Rolling Stop
Bud Norris vs. STL — He's rallied nicely but will never be favored to win.
Aaron Harang at SD — Park is right but he leaves me cold.
Barry Zito
vs. ARI — I don't want him deciding anything.
Paul Maholm vs. MIA — Crash landing over final quarter of season.

Red Light
Shaun Marcum at CIN — He simply doesn't look healthy right now.
John Lannan at PHI — An east coast Richard without the park advantage.
Jeff Locke at NYM — Strikeouts are there, but otherwise he hasn't been effective.
Rick Porcello vs. KC — Someone tell the fWAR calculator he isn't that good.

Shoot Out The Lights
Jarrod Parker at TEX — Holding up nicely, but it's the scariest AL park.
Carlos Villanueva at BAL — Feeding the gopher lately, forget it.
Samuel Deduno vs. NYY — Doing it with mirrors; Intensities in the Twin Cities.
Justin Masterson at CHW — The tease story never ends.
Jason Berken at COL — Don't mess with the thin air.
Jeremy Hefner vs. PIT — Batting practice in September (.420 BAA).
Drew Pomeranz vs. CHC- Obviously a Colorado arm makes no sense.

Tags: , , majority, Park, , Scratches,
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The New England Patriots lost a key part of their passing game when tight end Aaron Hernandez suffered a right ankle injury in the Pats' 20-18 Sunday loss to the Arizona Cardinals. Hernandez, who had caught eight passes for 59 yards this season, is expected to miss at least a month.

To replace Hernandez on the roster, New England has reportedly agreed to terms on a one-year deal with veteran tight end Kellen Winslow, who was released by the Seattle Seahawks on Sept. 2 in a surprise move. In 2011, Winslow caught 75 passes for 763 yards and two touchdowns for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while Hernandez grabbed 79 passes for 910 yards and seven touchdowns for New England. Winslow visited the Pats soon after his release from Seattle.

[More NFL: Peyton Manning says lack of arm strength not to blame for interceptions]

Winslow, who played 16 games in each of three seasons for Tampa Bay despite several knee injuries, had to be limited in practice and caught just three passes for 34 yards and a touchdown in the preseason for Seattle, but he looked dynamic when he could go.

"He has an extraordinary catching range," Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll said of Winslow in May, soon after the Seahawks traded a conditional late-round pick to the Bucs for his services. "He is doing a great job for us going with us right now. He's affected the way we think about the throwing game, and he's affected the quarterbacks too because you can feel when he's on the field. If you throw it near him he's going to catch it. That's that factor I'm talking about, it can happen with wide receivers. That's why I was so excited about Kellen coming in. That catching range, that expertise that some rare guys have, you want it when you can get it. I just want a little bit more."

[More NFL: Falcons' Michael Turner charged with DUI after MNF game]

Winslow was frequently set as a multi-spot target for the Seahawks, and there's no doubt he'll be tasked to do the same in a Patriots offense that uses tight ends more than just about any other in the NFL. Per Football Outsiders, New England ran offensive sets with two or more tight ends 74 percent of the time in 2011, which led the league.

Hernandez is generally set out wide or in the slot, while teammate Rob Gronkowski is generally closer to the formation. In 2011, Hernandez lined up 123 times as a pure receiver -- away from the formation, and not even in the flex or slot position. Only Green Bay's Jermichael Finley did so more often. Winslow is used to Hernandez's role, and if he is fully healthy, this could be a great spackle move for an offense in need of reliable targets.

The Patriots signed Hernandez, a fourth-round pick in the 2010 NFL draft, to a lucrative contract extension.

Related NFL video from Yahoo! Sports:

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PGA Tour democracy now subject to McIlroy’s rule (Reuters)

13 Sep
2012
(Reuters) - A 2012 PGA Tour season that began like a democracy with a diverse range of winners and several stunning 'come-from-behind' victories is poised to end as an autocracy with world number one Rory McIlroy reigning supreme. The mop-haired Northern Irishman will go into next week's Tour Championship in Atlanta, the final event of the regular season, in pursuit of his fifth title of the year on the U.S. circuit, and his fourth in five starts. ...
Tags: , Northern Irishman, , , , PGA Tour season, pursuit, , , , supreme
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Want to buy J.D. Drew’s Florida condo? It actually might be in your price range

13 Sep
2012
by David Brown in Fantasy Baseball, General

Buying the property of a Major League Baseball player, living where they lived, following the most luxurious path possible, imagining yourself as a Alex Rodriguez or Derek Jeter.

Sounds like a pie-in-the-sky dream, doesn't it?

Every so often The Stew passes along the information that some superstar ballplayer has put one of his homes up for sale. Of course, The 99 Percent of you out there could never, ever afford such obnoxiously luxurious real estate — and, to be fair, neither could we. To think otherwise would be a delusion of unaffordable grandeur, though it's always fun to suggest that there are Stewies who also use our blog as a place to shop for real estate.

At any rate, it appears former Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals slugger J.D. Drew might have changed the game here a bit. Drew, who isn't playing this season and likely has retired after putting in 13 seasons in the big leagues, recently put up his Florida condo up for sale.

The asking price? Not $10 million or $5 million. Heck, not even $1 million. Actually,  how does $299,000 sound? Hey, maybe you could buy it! You and a buddy, for sure. The U.S. Census reports that the median sales price of a new home in July was $224,000. The average price was $236,000. Drew's property isn't that much more, considering a low interest rate on a 30-year mortgage.

We can do this, people!

There's a catch, though. The property itself is ... sort of plain. Just like Drew himself!

Hey, of course it's plain. But it's also nice. Very nice. A-Rod wouldn't be caught dead living there, but it's nice. It's on a golf course — PGA National in Palm Beach County — so there's that. And it has a pool. A community pool. And the kitchen! It has a kitchen. With a peninsula. Not an island, but ... yeah. Seems like there should be more for a professional baseball player, doesn't there? But there's plenty, actually. It should make anyone happy.

Drew was a good hitter, sometimes very good, but he was considered one of the blandest players of his era. Some complained that he had an attitude problem, and he once even said he couldn't explain why it was so hard for him to get excited where people could tell. But it probably was just a big misunderstanding. Or even willful ignorance, a response to Drew holding out and refusing to sign after getting drafted by the Phillies. Drew's agent was Scott Boras, so even before he established himself in the majors, a lot of people were against him. And Drew responded by being quiet and reserved. He got hurt a lot, but it probably was because he was unlucky, not because he had a low pain tolerance or some kind of other weakness.

And even if all of the criticisms were true, Drew still hit .278/.384/.489 with 242 homers. Good. Very good. It should be enough for anyone.

So it makes sense that he'd own a home with an understated, conservative look. But hey, good for us. There's no way we could afford something flamboyant, anyhow. Now, does anyone know how escrow works?

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Tags: , Condo, Florida condo, , J.D., , , , , , St. Louis Cardinals slugger,
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Fantasy Hockey: A look at who’s moved on and who’s still unsigned

03 Sep
2012
by Dobber Hockey in Fantasy Hockey, General

Continuing with the week's series of fantasy-related content, I'm taking a look at the free agents who have signed with new teams - and where some of them should be targeted at the draft.

Sign up your Yahoo! fantasy hockey team today.

Key movers

A fresh start can be a good thing. But sometimes that reliable comfort zone that we were in turns out to be better after all. Hockey players are no different.

Jaromir Jagr, Dallas Stars

A solid return last season, but time to call a spade a spade - he played with one of the best players in the NHL and he had trouble staying healthy. Jamie Benn is a great player and still getting better - but he's no Claude Giroux.

Bottom line: Even if Benn turns into Giroux, that wonky groin of Jagr's ain't going away anytime soon. Pass.

P.A. Parenteau, Colorado Avalanche

He tallied 120 points over the last two seasons when, let's face it, 29 other NHL teams would have never given him an opportunity. So there is a heavy sense of doubt in fantasy circles. Now the Avalanche hope that he clicks with Matt Duchene the way he clicked with John Tavares.

Bottom line: Fantasy owners seem to be exaggerating in their minds the terrible blow his production will suffer from losing Tavares as a linemate. He could probably be taken in the middle rounds and will be a steal at that point thanks to his assists and penalty minutes.

Zach Parise, Minnesota Wild

Parise is going to see better numbers. A lot better. But will it match the hype? He had 94 points before (2008-09) and the improved Minnesota Wild sure look like they have the roster around him to get him back up there. A point per game is more likely, making him a high second-round draft pick.

Bottom line: In all likelihood he'll be drafted in the first round. The hype thing, remember? So you probably don' t have to worry about it.

Brad Boyes, New York Islanders

Give Boyes credit for finding one of the better teams for potentially turning his career back around. His numbers have been sliding into fantasy irrelevance and nothing turns that around better than an open spot on the line of a star player.

Bottom line: High risk and low reward. At best he gets 55 points.

Bobby Butler, New Jersey Devils

Butler is just unproven enough to be intriguing. If he sticks in the NHL it will be because he's scoring goals. But his two-way contract means no guarantees.

Bottom line: High risk and low reward, but at least with Butler you can drop him at the start of the season if he doesn't make the team. Whereas with other players (like Boyes) you have to wait a couple of weeks, costing you other opportunities.

Matt Carle, Tampa Bay Lightning

The emerging Viktor Hedman needs someone to share the power-play load and Marc-Andre Bergeron either seems to be injured, or inconsistent. Enter Matt Carle, who comes to Florida having played 244 of the last 246 games, with offense in the steady 35- to 40-point range in each of those three seasons.

Bottom line: Getting back into that range is the absolute minimum. He's only now entering his prime.

Jason Garrison, Vancouver Canucks

The Canucks got themselves a top, albeit underrated, defensive specialist. But they suckered for paid a premium because he scored 16 times last season. He'll get all the power-play time that he wants in 2012-13, but it matter much on the scoreboard.

Bottom line: Worth letting others trip over themselves to draft.

Jiri Hudler, Calgary Flames

Glass half full - Hudler owners have been dying for him to get onto a new team and get all the ice time and PP time he could ever want.

Glass half empty - Hudler is no longer playing with Henrik Zetterberg.

Bottom line: I don't think there is a lot of wiggle room up or down with Hudler's production. Don't overrate.

Olli Jokinen, Winnipeg Jets

The fantastic emerging line of Bryan Little, Blake Wheeler and Andrew Ladd is not breaking up anytime soon. But that still leaves Evander Kane as a potential linemate for Jokinen. So although he won't get first-unit power-play time, his even strength linemates are a match to what he had in Calgary (often Jarome Iginla and Curtis Glencross).

Bottom line: I call this one a wash (new situation versus old), unless Kane busts out like we know he can. Definite upside.

Guillaume Latendresse, Ottawa Senators

Still only 25, if Latendresse can put his concussion issues behind him then he has the prime of his career still ahead. With 33 goals in his last 82 games, you can see what Latendresse has to offer. The issue is, it took him three years to get in those 82 games.

Bottom line: It's a good situation for him in Ottawa, but the risk is the same as it would be in any city. Too risky to draft any higher than the final few rounds.

Peter Mueller, Florida Panthers

Mueller was a potential star, after dominating the WHL and then posting 54 points as an NHL rookie. He showed even more promise upon being traded to the Avalanche, posting 20 points in 15 games. But concussion and neck injuries have stalled any further progress and when he did play last season he seemed tentative. The Panthers are taking a chance on him, but it's low risk and he will be tried in the top six.

Bottom line: The upside is much higher than that of Latendresse, so depending on your needs he could be selected in the late middle rounds.

Benoit Pouliot, Tampa Bay Lightning

If Pouliot progressed in his career any slower, he should be a 65-point player by 2047. But this is the first time that he is entering a season with a real shot at a second-line spot.

Bottom line: I think he makes a great late-round draft pick and a safe 40-point bet with upside for 50.

Mikael Samuelsson, Detroit Red Wings

The aging and oft-injured Swede was a 40-point player in Detroit in his first go-round, and he became a 50-point player in Vancouver. He rejoins the team where he enjoyed the most career success, culminating in a Stanley Cup. But if Gustav Nyquist is the real deal, then Samuelsson will find himself out of the top six.

Bottom line: Risk. You should assume that he slips back to being a 40-point player - and that's assuming he stays healthy.

Alexander Semin, Carolina Hurricanes

Joining a re-vamped Carolina lineup was a good move for Semin, and the team's style of play will be a much better fit for his game than Washington's stifling defense from last year. He'll also probably line up with Jeff Skinner.

Bottom line: The hype-machine is in overdrive for this guy, but his production may actually match. I think he makes a great second-round pick in most formats, and he should actually slip that far too.

Ryan Suter, Minnesota Wild

Another much-hyped signing, the former seventh overall pick (2003) is coming off a career-high 46 points. Most poolies will draft him as if he's now a 55-point player, which probably won't be the case. He's a top all-around defenseman, not an offensive specialist.

Bottom line: Worth drafting as your No. 3 defenseman, or perhaps your No.2. But most poolies will take him as their first. Let them.

Sheldon Souray, Anaheim Ducks

This contract shocked me. He couldn't get a two-year deal a year ago, nor could he get a contract worth even $2 million. Then he has a six-goal season and gets a raise of more than double? And for three years, when he's 36 years old? I smell buyout in 2013.

Bottom line: At least he dates hot chicks.

Steve Sullivan, Phoenix Coyotes

The Coyotes are hoping that lightning strikes twice with their signings of aging vets. Ray Whitney sure panned out. But Sullivan is a different animal altogether. He's struggled with injuries over the last few years, and was used sparingly last season.

Bottom line: If the coach manages him properly, he could have another healthy season, which would mean 40 points. But there are better options out there, even in the reserve/bench rounds.

Tomas Vokoun, Pittsburgh Penguins

I wouldn't even consider Vokoun for my third tier. While he'll definitely see more starts than your typical Pittsburgh backup, the fact of the matter is that Marc-Andre Fleury will see at least three-quarters of them.

Bottom line: Draft in the final round only if you believe that Fleury letting in beach balls against the Flyers in April was the start of a downward spiral.

Ray Whitney, Dallas Stars

One of the biggest surprises of last season couldn't possibly repeat that, Which is why you'll probably get him for at a reasonable spot in the middle rounds. I drafted him late last year in my roto league - it's like fantasy owners have been waiting for Whitney to falter, but it doesn't seem to happen.

Bottom line: He'll slow down, but not so much as to justify how far he'll sink in your draft. He'll probably be a late/middle round steal.

Wojtek Wolski, Washington Capitals

After a promising 65-point season as a 24-year-old, things unravelled quickly for Wolski as Colorado, Phoenix and New York each grew tired of his lack of physical play. In New York he was quickly knocked down to the third line, which is like putting on your shiny new Nike Airs and then laying brick. Once in Florida, he started off fine on the top line, but when Kris Versteeg returned, Wolski was back to bricklaying.

Bottom line: If there are no expectations on him beyond producing points, Wolski could flourish playing with Mike Ribeiro or Nicklas Backstrom. But don't bank on it. His high risk/high reward status pushes him to the bottom rounds.

Key players still unsigned

Jason Arnott

Arnott will be 38 in the fall and his body is wearing down from all the injuries over the years. He's coming off a 34-point season buried deep in a lineup that preached stifling defense. So there is some hope for a rebound over the 40-point mark.

Bottom line: Not worth drafting.

Shane Doan

The steady veteran will be 36 in the fall, and he will don either the Phoenix, Pittsburgh, New York or Vancouver jersey in all likelihood. He's coming off of a 50-point season playing what is considered a less-than-ideal system for players who want big offensive numbers.

Bottom line: If he's drafted in his usual spot, he could be a steal if he joins another team.

Kristian Huselius

It's easy to forget Huselius because he's played so little over the past two campaigns. But the last time he was healthy, which was three seasons ago, he posted a solid 63 points. He's still only 33, so if his injury woes are behind him he could certainly get back up there.

Bottom line: He'll fall to the late rounds, making him a great steal for you by that point.

Andrei Kostitsyn

Early prediction - Kostitsyn will get 40 points. In the KHL. The inconsistent Kostitsyn is a second-liner at times, or an AHLer at other times. Teams probably don't want to commit to the contract that he wants.

Bottom line: Do not draft unless an NHL contract is signed, sealed and delivered. And even then, he's a bench pick.

Petr Sykora

In his return to the NHL, on what began as a training camp invite, Sykora posted an impressive 44 points. Wherever he ends up, probably New Jersey again, look for more of the same.

Bottom line: If those kinds of numbers are worth having on your team, draft accordingly.

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Dobber is the resident fantasy hockey know-it-all for Puck Daddy, and founder of Dobber Sports - which includes DobberHockey, DobberProspects, DobberFootball and DobberBaseball. You can follow him on Twitter @DobberHockey

Tags: , , Hudler, , , Minnesota Wild, , , , specialist
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Seahawks release TE Kellen Winslow in surprise move

02 Sep
2012

It was a bad week for veteran tight ends who imagined that they were pretty secure in their positions. On Tuesday, the Washington Redskins released Chris Cooley, who had been with them since he was selected in the third round of the 2004 NFL Draft. And on Saturday, the Seattle Seahawks released Kellen Winslow in a move that surprised a lot of people. Seattle traded a conditional late-round pick to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in May for the services of the nine-year veteran when Winslow and new Bucs head coach Greg Schiano didn't see eye-to-eye.

The Seahawks signed former Cleveland Browns tight end Evan Moore to fill the roster spot opened by Winslow's exit.

[Also: NFLRA says talks with NFL have broken off, replacement refs to work]

One reason for Winslow's departure was money -- he was due $13.3 million over the remaining three years of his contract, and it's believed that a refusal to take a pay cut in Seattle led to his release. Winslow, who played 16 games in each of three seasons for the Bucs despite several knee injuries, had to be limited in practice and caught just three passes for 34 yards and a touchdown in the preseason.

That doesn't tell the whole story, however, because Winslow was frequently set as a potentially dynamic target for rookie quarterback Russell Wilson in practice. Set off the line while fellow tight end Zach Miller was often tasked to block alongside the tackle, Winslow looked to be a good fit in Seattle's offense, which used at least two tight ends 37 percent of the time, per Football Outsiders. That figure ranked 12th in the league.

"He's totally a part of that," Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll said in early August of Winslow's fit in Seattle's offense. "He has an extraordinary catching range. Kellen is doing a great job for us going with us right now. He's affected the way we think about the throwing game, and he's affected the quarterbacks too because you can feel when he's on the field. If you throw it near him he's going to catch it. That's that factor I'm talking about, it can happen with wide receivers. That's why I was so excited about Kellen coming in. That catching range, that expertise that some rare guys have, you want it when you can get it. I just want a little bit more."

Miller is scheduled to make $6 million this season and has three years left on a five-year, $34 million contract he signed in August of 2011. The Seahawks have also liked what they've seen from Anthony McCoy, who played for Carroll at USC and was selected by Seattle in the sixth round in 2010.

Selected in the first round of the 2004 draft by the Cleveland Browns, Winslow totaled 218 catches for 2,377 yards and 12 touchdowns in three seasons for the Buccaneers.

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Players we want back: Mike Miller

30 Aug
2012

For whatever reason, several of the league's more entertaining players have fallen off in recent years. Be it due to injury, confidence issues, rotation frustrations, a poor fit, or general ennui in a profession that can get tiresome, these players have disappointed of late. For the next few weeks, we're going to take a look at a list of familiar names that haven't produced familiar games over the last few years. Or, at least players that have produced games that we don't want to be in the habit of familiarizing ourselves with.

Today, we're looking at Miami Heat swingman Mike Miller.

Mike Miller, at age 32 heading into a season that will see him turn 33 midway through his team's year, is past his prime. We can hope for the finest of days and wonder if the worst is behind him, but all historical indications point out that the best isn't ahead of Mike Miller. At his age, even if he were to be coming off of a string of 82-game seasons (instead of 80 combined games in two years), that's just how this league works.

That doesn't mean Miller, who returned to the gym last week after two months of rehab in the wake of his turn on the champion Miami Heat, can't make this all work. And he can make this work, even hitting age 33 midseason, utilizing the same sort of mindset that he championed and we dismissed so easily during his prime years with Memphis, Minnesota, and Washington.

Forget the idea of Mike Miller, designated shooter. The guy can still stroke, but on a team that just added Ray Allen and Rashard Lewis, that sort of spacing isn't as paramount any more. Nah, forget the bombs. Please welcome, if his body is up to it, the idea of Mike Miller the point forward.

The designated passer. The skip guy. The extra dish after that up fake and drive that drove us so batty when Mike was passing up good looks from long range in Minnesota. The things that Allen and Lewis can't do. Returning from debilitating injuries to try and line up at pressurized 25-footer after sitting on the bench stiffening up for 30 minutes of real time is a tough gig for one of the greats — and Miller, that 40 percent career shooter from long range, is one of the greats. Doesn't matter. The new guys have one trick, you have two. Use the second trick to set up the other guy's one trick.

To fit in this ever-evolving Heat crew, Miller needs to pull off those warm-ups and play the old man game. Shane Battier attempts this as starter every so often, but he's not nearly as gifted or as quick a passer as Miller is. With Dwyane Wade and LeBron James helping to guard quicker opponents and Erik Spoelstra working with a deeper (if much older) rotation as the Heat attempt to defend their championship, the gravy that Mike (new nickname: "If Healthy") Miller could provide doesn't have to come in the packet form of "another potential shooter off the bench."

He could be the next guy to create shots, on a team that sometimes bogs down to obvious (if often brilliant) one on one play. All he has to do is get out of that James Jones mindset.

(After years of us asking him to take up the James Jones mindset. We've changed our, uh, mindset.)

Miller's assist rate (the amount of possessions he used up that ended in an assist) dumped down to single-digit marks in 2010-11 and last season; a shocking dip considering his work in the past. Consider that twice in his career Miller finished a season with a 22 percent assist rate, a mark that quite a few shoot-first starting point guards flirted with last year, and you can understand the drop-off. In terms of per-possession advanced stats, it's not as massive as Reggie Evans turning into a Brook Lopez-styled rebounder next season, but it is a precipitous fall.

All because he was brought in to be "the shooter." Now Ray Allen, and to a lesser extent Rashard Lewis, have been brought in to be "the shooter." As a result, Mike "If Healthy" Miller needs to come back to be "whatever the hell he wants."

And, considering his jerky tone when questioned about his over-passing in Minnesota a few years back (remember this prick move? "I take what's there. It's called basketball; James Naismith invented it a long time ago."), one would hope that Miller would take to acting as a mini-Rick Barry from the wing. Or a mini-Johnny Neumann. Not that one.

This isn't to say Miller has to think pass above all, it's just that his reputation is already intact. Half-asleep bench-mongers on the opposition won't think twice about lunging at his up-fakes from behind the three-point arc because the idea of Mike Miller as a lights out shooter can survive even a 3-32 streak from long range. Better for Miller, to his credit, is the fact that he shot a nasty 45 percent from three-point land last season (up from an NBA-average 36 percent the year before), and is coming off a 7-8 turn from behind the arc in Game 5 of the Finals last June, a performance that cinched Miami's title.

The Heat, for all their unselfish play and frustrating overpassing (at times), are still a squad filled with hungry hands that would love nothing more than to collect a lob and lay-in 12 times a night. We don't doubt that LeBron would love to lead the NBA in assists some day and that Dwyane Wade (after two titles and endless rehabs of his own) just wants to win even if he only contributes three baskets all night, but another creative touch that aides in their scoring wouldn't hurt. Scoping out a curling Allen or Lewis wouldn't hurt, either.

Miller can provide that creative touch. All he has to do is get back to the sort of play that had us bashing our heads against the wall while watching him in Minnesota and Washington a few years ago. And, while he's at it, completely recover from retirement-worthy back and wrist injuries.

If Mike doesn't feel like it? Then he'll always have that 45 percent three-point mark to fall back on. The percentage that out-paced every member of the Miami Heat save for Allen in 2011-12. Allen, to the decimal point, tied Miller at 45.3 percent.

So much gravy. Now get healthy.

Tags: , , Mike Miller, mindset, , , , Rashard Lewis, ,
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